The Value of Things: Ranking C.J. Stroud

[SirVocea]

Everyone knows I love statistics and I love what statistics can tell us. There is no greater controversial topic in the NFL than ranking quarterbacks. Usually, it is simplistic analysis that leaves out relevant information that can help us. This article is going to be thorough and hopefully enlightening as the Houston Texans tack forward. Make no mistake, C.J. Stroud is the quarterback of the future, but these numbers could tell us a lot about what he needs to work on and maybe who should be working with him.Ill start by outlining my methodology. I started by picking the 32 quarterbacks over the last two years with the most starts. That means that Drake Maye takes a backseat even though he is technically the New England Patriots starter. Instead, we went with Aidan OConnell and Gardner Minshew. We looked at only the games that they played with passing yards per game, TD%, INT% Jawhar Jordan Jersey, completion PCT, TD/INT ratio, yards per attempt, and attempts per are really three ways to look at these numbers are far as Stroud is concerned and we will do all of it. First, we can simply compare him with the average in each category that the 32 quarterbacks put up. If he is average or above in every category then he is an above average quarterback. If he is average or below then he is average or below. We will start there. The average will be in parentheses. His ranking amongst the 32 quarterbacks is also there as Per Game: 244.8Completion PCT: 63.5TD%: 5.5INT%: 2.2TD/INT: 2.50YPA: 7.60Sack%: 11.46We are off to a good start here. Stroud is better than the average score in every category except completion percentage, interception percentage, and attempts per sack. I see some immediate ties between those numbers, but we also need to look at our third tests before we get to the implications. I would point out that he was only top ten in two categories, so anyone arguing that Stroud is a top ten quarterback has a lot of heavy lifting to composite ranking is 16th amongst those various categories. That feels a lot closer to the truth. I might be tempted to put him a few spots higher in the ranking, but I think we know what we are dealing with. Our last test is something I am borrowing from the baseball world. Similarity scores are a Bill James invention used to compare players with other players that are , what we are doing is looking at each category individually and comparing Stroud with the quarterbacks closest to him in each category. The idea is that the names we see repeatedly are the guys most similar to him. Obviously then we can get an idea of which tier he fits into and whether we are comfortable with him as that kind of quarterback. Ill also have a bonus graph at the analyst has to start off by admitting by the limitations of a table. I did not include any rushing information. However, I should also note that the quarterbacks are listed in the order of who is the most similar. Jordan Love feels like the best comparison to Stroud even when you consider the rushing side of things. Matthew Stafford also feels like a similar quarterback you cant necessarily seeare the number of passing attempts per sack.

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